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Donnerstag, 22. April 2010

Volcano Vs. Planes - The Emission Equation

volcano vs. planes chart
Chart by David McCandless & Ben Bartels @ Information is Beautiful

OK, admittedly it's pretty tough to gather reliable data from an erupting volcano, but we're suckers for a graph and the folks over at Information is Beautiful have been busy crunching numbers to give us the visual above. They've taken a crack - OK three cracks actually - at graphically comparing the daily CO2 output of the Eyjafjallaj�kull eruption and the CO2 savings from all the grounded flights.

Yes, we know, it's not that simple, read on for more explanation.

The authors of the graph, like any good data geek, have been transparent in the data they've used to create this visualization, but it's really too early to tell if it is accurate. That being said, even if Eyjafjallaj�kull's emissions were double their estimate, the immediate daily CO2 emissions saved from grounded planes would outstrip the mountain's output.

Breitbart
suggest another view.

Extrapolated over a year, the emissions would place the volcano 47th to 75th in the world table of emitters on a country-by-country basis, according to a database at the World Resources Institute (WRI), which tracks environment and sustainable development.

A 47th ranking would place it above Austria, Belarus, Portugal, Ireland, Finland, Bulgaria, Sweden, Denmark and Switzerland, according to this list, which relates to 2005.

That's a pretty hefty amount, but of course, it's not often that a volcano erupts for an entire year. The report in Breitbart continues with some perspective.

Experts stressed that the volcano contributed just a tiny amount -- less than a third of one percentage point -- of global emissions of greenhouse gases.

Total emissions by six heat-trapping gases in 2005 were more than 36 thousand million tonnes (36 gigatonnes) as measured in CO2, according to the WRI index.

"It's not of any significance compared to the anthropogenic [manmade] budget," said Kjetil Toerseth, director of regional and global pollution at the Norwegian Institute for Air Research.

And finally, for those out there giving Eyjafjallaj�kull props for slashing European emissions, a (possible) further dose of reality.

...carbon is emitted when passengers stranded by air travel use the train, bus, car or ferry as an alternative.

And many flights in, to and from Europe are merely being deferred until the crisis is over.

"Whether the emissions occur now or three weeks from now does not change things fundamentally," said Herve Le Treut, a French climatologist.

So, now that flight restrictions have been lifted and air travel has resumed, any dip in emissions caused by Eyjafjallaj�kull is but a tiny blip on the global warming radar.


More on Eyjafjallaj�kull's Eruption

200,000 Tons of CO2 Emissions Avoided Each Day Volcano Grounds Flights
Don't Go Into the Survival Shelter: Icelandic Volcano Eruption Unlikely to Have Global Impact
Iceland's Volcanic Eruption: More Tourists, Colder US Winter
Ask Pablo: What Impact Will The Volcano In Iceland Have On Climate Change?

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